{"id":4559,"date":"2025-12-29T09:01:24","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T09:01:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/saptamana.md\/?p=4559"},"modified":"2025-12-29T09:05:46","modified_gmt":"2025-12-29T09:05:46","slug":"costul-sprijinirii-ucrainei-mit-sau-povara-pentru-ue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/saptamana.md\/index.php\/2025\/12\/29\/costul-sprijinirii-ucrainei-mit-sau-povara-pentru-ue\/","title":{"rendered":"Costul sprijinirii Ucrainei: mit sau povar\u0103 pentru UE?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"el-image\" src=\"https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/themes\/yootheme\/cache\/69\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962.jpeg\" alt=\"Costul sprijinirii Ucrainei: mit sau povar\u0103 pentru UE?\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1193\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen dezbaterile de la Bruxelles \u0219i \u00een campaniile na\u021bionale \u2013 \u00een special cele populiste \u2013 un refren recurent de luni de zile a fost c\u0103 \u201efinan\u021barea Ucrainei cost\u0103 pur \u0219i simplu prea mult\u201d pentru Uniunea European\u0103. Cifrele, \u00eens\u0103, spun altceva: UE pl\u0103te\u0219te \u00een prezent aproximativ aceea\u0219i sum\u0103 pe care ar fi implicat-o un scenariu \u00een care Rusia ar fi c\u00e2\u0219tigat r\u0103zboiul \u0219i ar fi extins confruntarea \u00eempotriva NATO \u2013 un scenariu \u00een care riscurile ar fi fost considerabil mai mari.<\/p>\n<p>Este o dezbatere care se reflect\u0103 \u0219i \u00een modul diferit \u00een care mass-media prezint\u0103 povara financiar\u0103 a sprijinului acordat Ucrainei.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/factcheck-debunked-micheal-martin-zelenskyy-billion-in-donations-to-ukraine-or-less-non-lethal-equipment-6897030-Dec2025\/?jrnl_lg=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>The Journal<\/em><\/a>\u00a0face parte dintr-o ampl\u0103 ini\u021biativ\u0103 jurnalistic\u0103 european\u0103 transfrontalier\u0103 numit\u0103 PULSE \u0219i a publicat recent un articol care demonteaz\u0103 mitul potrivit c\u0103ruia \u201efinan\u021barea Ucrainei a costat Irlanda miliarde de euro\u201d, prezent\u00e2nd cifre detaliate. \u00cen contrast, afirma\u021bia site-ului de \u0219tiri maghiar\u00a0<em>Origo<\/em>, potrivit c\u0103reia \u201ea cheltui bani pentru Ucraina este ca \u0219i cum ai turna ap\u0103 \u00eentr-un sac g\u0103urit\u201d, este o imagine tipic\u0103 a modului \u00een care mass-media aliniat\u0103 guvernului exploateaz\u0103 sensibilit\u0103\u021bile maghiarilor \u00een materie de umanitarism \u0219i realpolitik.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen general, \u00eens\u0103, se contureaz\u0103 o tendin\u021b\u0103 la nivel european: tot mai mul\u021bi politicieni sus\u021bin \u00een campaniile lor electorale c\u0103 povara financiar\u0103 a r\u0103zboiului din Ucraina este insuportabil\u0103.\u00a0 Toate acestea se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 \u00eentr-un moment decisiv, \u00een care Europa trebuie s\u0103-\u0219i asume \u00eentreaga responsabilitate pentru finan\u021barea unui r\u0103zboi \u00een Ucraina care se apropie \u00eencet de durata celor dou\u0103 r\u0103zboaie mondiale, \u00een timp ce Washingtonul se retrage \u00een plan secund. Acest lucru, la r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u, pune la grea \u00eencercare abilit\u0103\u021bile liderilor UE de a ajunge la acorduri politice, precum \u0219i cadrele juridice ale Uniunii Europene.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cine ofer\u0103 sprijin Ucrainei?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Datele actualizate ale Ukraine Support Tracker, realizat de Institutul Kiel, , arat\u0103 c\u0103 Ungaria cheltuie relativ pu\u021bin pentru sprijinirea Ucrainei, \u00een pofida \u2013 sau poate tocmai din cauza \u2013 proximit\u0103\u021bii r\u0103zboiului din \u021bara vecin\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><iframe id=\"datawrapper-chart-P6YVO\" title=\"EU27 bilateral support to Ukraine as % of GDP \u2013 choropleth map\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/P6YVO\/1\/\" height=\"813\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Choropleth map\" data-external=\"1\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Aceasta contrasteaz\u0103 puternic cu statele baltice \u0219i nordice, relativ mai pu\u021bin prospere, care suport\u0103 cea mai mare povar\u0103 \u00een raport cu PIB-ul lor. Polonia, Republica Ceh\u0103 \u0219i Slovacia sunt, de asemenea, extrem de generoase \u00een \u201ebanda medie\u201d, \u00een timp ce, \u00een termeni absolu\u021bi, Germania \u0219i Fran\u021ba ofer\u0103 cel mai mult sprijin.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen r\u00e2ndul creditorilor \u0219i donatorilor interna\u021bionali exist\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 un consens larg cu privire la urgen\u021ba garant\u0103rii continu\u0103rii sprijinului acordat Ucrainei. \u00cen\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/news\/articles\/2025\/11\/26\/pr-25399-ukraine-agreement-on-new-us-8-point-1-bil-48mo-eff-arrangement\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">declara\u021bia<\/a>\u00a0sa din 26 noiembrie 2025, Fondul Monetar Interna\u021bional (FMI) afirm\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 echivoc: \u201eAc\u021biunea prompt\u0103 a donatorilor este indispensabil\u0103 pentru a evita constr\u00e2ngerile legate de lichidit\u0103\u021bi.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>FMI subliniaz\u0103, de asemenea, c\u0103 nevoile fiscale \u0219i de finan\u021bare extern\u0103 ale Ucrainei sunt mari \u0219i c\u0103 riscurile sunt \u201eextrem de ridicate\u201d din cauza duratei \u0219i intensit\u0103\u021bii r\u0103zboiului \u0219i a fluctua\u021biilor sprijinului acordat de donatori. \u00centre timp, Banca Mondial\u0103 ofer\u0103 o cifr\u0103 concret\u0103, estim\u00e2nd necesarul de finan\u021bare extern\u0103 al Ucrainei pentru 2025 la 37 de miliarde de euro \u2013 cu alte cuvinte, asigurarea finan\u021b\u0103rii \u00eencep\u00e2nd de la \u00eenceputul anului 2026 este urgent\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>Cifrele recente ale Institutului Kiel trag, de asemenea, un semnal de alarm\u0103 cu privire la sc\u0103derea drastic\u0103 a sprijinului militar \u0219i de ap\u0103rare \u00een 2025. Ucraina se confrunt\u0103 cu unul dintre anii cu cele mai pu\u021bine decizii noi de acordare a ajutorului de la izbucnirea r\u0103zboiului, \u00een 2022. Europa a alocat doar aproximativ 4,2 miliarde de euro pentru ajutor militar suplimentar Ucrainei \u2013 o sum\u0103 mult prea mic\u0103 pentru a compensa \u00eentreruperea sprijinului acordat de SUA, avertizeaz\u0103 analiza Institutului Kiel.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen acela\u0219i timp, disparit\u0103\u021bile din interiorul Europei s-au accentuat. Fran\u021ba, Germania \u0219i Regatul Unit \u0219i-au majorat semnificativ aloc\u0103rile, dar \u00een termeni relativi, r\u0103m\u00e2n \u00een continuare \u00een urma \u021b\u0103rilor nordice. \u00cen schimb, Italia \u0219i Spania au contribuit doar minim.<\/p>\n<p>De asemenea, este de remarcat faptul c\u0103 Germania furnizeaz\u0103 cea mai mare parte a finan\u021b\u0103rii pentru sistemele de ap\u0103rare aerian\u0103 \u0219i pentru tancuri, \u00een timp ce Polonia, Republica Ceh\u0103 \u0219i statele baltice au livrat cele mai mari cantit\u0103\u021bi de armament greu.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te Irlanda, la \u00eenceputul acestei luni, prim-ministrul Miche\u00e1l Martin a anun\u021bat un sprijin financiar suplimentar de 125 de milioane de euro pentru Ucraina, ca parte a unei noi foi de parcurs pentru parteneriatul cu Irlanda pentru urm\u0103torii cinci ani.<\/p>\n<p>Aceast\u0103 foaie de parcurs prevede alocarea a \u00eenc\u0103 100 de milioane de euro pentru sprijin militar neletal, la care se adaug\u0103 alte 100 de milioane de euro anun\u021bate anterior, precum \u0219i 25 de milioane de euro destinate restaur\u0103rii \u0219i protej\u0103rii infrastructurii energetice ucrainene.<\/p>\n<p>Guvernul irlandez a anun\u021bat deja \u00een acest an acordarea unui ajutor umanitar \u0219i de stabilizare \u00een valoare de aproximativ 35,4 milioane de euro.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen alt\u0103 parte, costurile legate de refugia\u021bi \u00een Europa afecteaz\u0103 \u00een mod deosebit Germania, Polonia, Rom\u00e2nia \u0219i Republica Ceh\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><strong>C\u00e2t cost\u0103 Ucraina pentru UE? Ce arat\u0103 cifrele<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Potrivit unei\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/epthinktank.eu\/2025\/11\/06\/state-of-play-eu-support-to-ukraine\/eu-support-to-ukraine_gdp_per_ms_socme\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sinteze din octombrie 2025<\/a>\u00a0realizate de Serviciul de Cercetare al Parlamentului European (EPRS), institu\u021biile UE \u0219i cele 27 de state membre, reunite sub denumirea de \u201eTeam Europe\u201d (Echipa Europa), au mobilizat aproximativ 177,5 miliarde de euro \u00een sprijin financiar, militar \u0219i umanitar pentru Ucraina \u00eencep\u00e2nd din februarie 2022.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\" data-pgc-sgb-id=\"bl0\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-383520\" src=\"https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/45760752e98f27b88644681dc318a7b46222034bf56d4a531a9b72ffd70f1374.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 862px) 100vw, 862px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/45760752e98f27b88644681dc318a7b46222034bf56d4a531a9b72ffd70f1374.jpg 862w, https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/45760752e98f27b88644681dc318a7b46222034bf56d4a531a9b72ffd70f1374-300x203.jpg 300w, https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/45760752e98f27b88644681dc318a7b46222034bf56d4a531a9b72ffd70f1374-768x520.jpg 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"862\" height=\"584\" data-id=\"383520\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Aceasta sum\u0103 include asisten\u021ba macrofinanciar\u0103 \u0219i Facilitatea pentru Ucraina \u00een valoare de 50 de miliarde de euro pentru perioada 2024-2027, din care 38,27 miliarde de euro reprezint\u0103 sprijin bugetar direct, acordat \u00een principal, sub form\u0103 de \u00eemprumuturi \u00een condi\u021bii preferen\u021biale. La aceasta se adaug\u0103 asisten\u021ba militar\u0103, pe care EPRS o estimeaz\u0103 la aproximativ 63-65 de miliarde de euro, incluz\u00e2nd livr\u0103rile statelor membre \u0219i pl\u0103\u021bile din Fondul European pentru Pace (EPF).<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen cele din urm\u0103, sprijinul acordat refugia\u021bilor este un aspect pe care publicul \u00eel asociaz\u0103 rar \u00een mod direct cu Ucraina, \u00eens\u0103, pe baza datelor furnizate de Ukraine Support Tracker al Institutului Kiel, EPRS estimeaz\u0103 cheltuielile statelor membre ale UE legate de refugia\u021bi la aproximativ 155 de miliarde de euro \u00eentre \u00eenceputul anului 2022 \u0219i august 2025.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-2 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\" data-pgc-sgb-id=\"bl1\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-383528\" src=\"https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/a2f6ce0b6f1411e903117c1454837a60c4c2a91e74e98cb042c69fe79bc2e12e-1024x783.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/a2f6ce0b6f1411e903117c1454837a60c4c2a91e74e98cb042c69fe79bc2e12e-1024x783.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/a2f6ce0b6f1411e903117c1454837a60c4c2a91e74e98cb042c69fe79bc2e12e-300x229.jpg 300w, https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/a2f6ce0b6f1411e903117c1454837a60c4c2a91e74e98cb042c69fe79bc2e12e-768x587.jpg 768w, https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/a2f6ce0b6f1411e903117c1454837a60c4c2a91e74e98cb042c69fe79bc2e12e.jpg 1062w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"783\" data-id=\"383528\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Dac\u0103 sunt luate \u00een calcul toate aceste elemente \u2013 programele bugetare ale UE, ajutorul militar \u0219i costurile legate de refugia\u021bi \u2013 \u201epre\u021bul\u201d Ucrainei pentru UE se ridic\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent la aproximativ 330 de miliarde de euro pe o perioad\u0103 de trei ani \u0219i jum\u0103tate.\u00a0 Raportat anual, aceasta reprezint\u0103 aproximativ 90-100 de miliarde de euro, \u00een timp ce PIB-ul UE-27 \u00een 2024 era cu mult peste 15 000 de miliarde de euro, ceea ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 factura se ridic\u0103 la aproximativ 0,6-0,7 puncte procentuale din produc\u021bia economic\u0103 anual\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><strong>EIB \u0219i EBRD: \u201eeconomia de r\u0103zboi pentru dezvoltare\u201d a UE<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Institu\u021biile financiare ale UE joac\u0103, de asemenea, un rol esen\u021bial \u00een finan\u021barea Ucrainei.\u00a0 Potrivit unei\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eib.org\/en\/press\/all\/2025-282-eu-expands-support-for-ukraine-with-new-financing-of-almost-eur600-million-for-energy-transport-and-business-resilience\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">declara\u021bii din iulie 2025<\/a>\u00a0a Grupului B\u0103ncii Europene de Investi\u021bii (BEI), de la \u00eenceputul invaziei ruse, acesta a mobilizat 3,6 miliarde de euro sub form\u0103 de sprijin \u0219i \u00eemprumuturi pentru Ucraina, direc\u021bionate \u00een temei c\u0103tre infrastructura energetic\u0103, transporturi \u0219i finan\u021barea \u00eentreprinderilor mici \u0219i mijlocii. Banca European\u0103 pentru Reconstruc\u021bie \u0219i Dezvoltare (BERD) este cel mai mare investitor institu\u021bional al Ucrainei \u00een timpul r\u0103zboiului: la Conferin\u021ba pentru redresarea Ucrainei din 2025, desf\u0103\u0219urat\u0103 la Roma, aceasta a raportat c\u0103 finan\u021barea \u00een timpul r\u0103zboiului a ajuns la 7,6 miliarde de euro \u0219i \u00ee\u0219i propune s\u0103 men\u021bin\u0103 un nivel anual de\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/documents1.worldbank.org\/curated\/en\/099022025114040022\/pdf\/P180174-ca39eccd-ea67-4bd8-b537-ff73a675a0a8.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" download=\"\">1,5-2 miliarde de euro<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Aceste cifre nu reprezint\u0103 \u201einvesti\u021bii de lux suplimentare\u201d, ci \u00een primul r\u00e2nd centrale electrice, poduri, sisteme de \u00eenc\u0103lzire urban\u0103, puncte de trecere a frontierei \u0219i supravie\u021buirea \u00eentreprinderilor mici \u0219i mijlocii \u2013 cu alte cuvinte, toate elementele f\u0103r\u0103 de care o \u021bar\u0103 aflat\u0103 \u00een prima linie ar deveni rapid un vecin permanent instabil \u0219i \u00een colaps.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Europa vs. SUA: cine pl\u0103te\u0219te cu adev\u0103rat?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00cen contextul dezbaterii transatlantice privind \u00abcine pl\u0103te\u0219te mai mult?\u00bb, cele mai recente date arat\u0103 c\u0103, la \u00eenceputul acestui an, Europa a trecut de la un rol pasiv la pozi\u021bia de principal finan\u021bator. Potrivit Institutului Kiel, \u00eencep\u00e2nd din 2022, institu\u021biile UE \u0219i statele membre au alocat \u00eempreun\u0103 aproximativ 165,7 miliarde de euro pentru sprijinirea Ucrainei, \u00een timp ce Statele Unite au furnizat aproximativ 130,6 miliarde de euro.<\/p>\n<p>EPRS subliniaz\u0103, de asemenea, c\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2025, Echipa Europa a dep\u0103\u0219it Statele Unite \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te volumul total al sprijinului financiar, umanitar \u0219i militar alocat. \u00cen materie de echipamente militare,statele membre ale UE au alocat Ucrainei \u00een acest an o sum\u0103 u\u0219or mai mare dec\u00e2t Washingtonul: 65,1 miliarde de euro, comparativ cu 64,6 miliarde de euro din partea SUA, la care se adaug\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 32,8 miliarde de euro din angajamentele europene.<\/p>\n<p>Situa\u021bia este \u00eens\u0103 mai nuan\u021bat\u0103, \u00eentruc\u00e2t o parte mai mare din sprijinul acordat de SUA const\u0103 \u00een granturi, \u00een timp ce aproximativ 75 % din finan\u021barea UE ia forma unor \u00eemprumuturi concesionale cu perioade de gra\u021bie lungi \u0219i subven\u021bii la dob\u00e2nd\u0103. Desigur, acest lucru \u00eenseamn\u0103 costuri imediate mai mici, dar expune Uniunea European\u0103 la un risc financiar mai ridicat pe termen lung \u2013 \u00een parte pe baza a\u0219tept\u0103rii c\u0103 \u00eemprumuturile vor fi rambursate \u00een cele din urm\u0103 din activele ruse\u0219ti sau din \u201e\u00eemprumuturile pentru repara\u021bii de r\u0103zboi\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ce ar costa mai mult: o victorie ucrainean\u0103 sau o ofensiv\u0103 rus\u0103?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00cen mod paradoxal,cel mai puternic argument \u00eempotriva afirma\u021biei potrivit c\u0103reia \u201efinan\u021barea Ucrainei este prea costisitoare\u201d const\u0103 \u00een a sublinia c\u00e2t de costisitor ar fi, de fapt, s\u0103 nu se pl\u0103teasc\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>Un\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/398136837_Europe's_choice_Military_and_economic_scenarios_for_the_War_in_Ukraine_Corisk_Report_Series_No_12_2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">studiu recent<\/a>\u00a0realizat de firma norvegian\u0103 de analiz\u0103 Corisk, finan\u021bat\u0103 din fonduri civile, \u0219i de Institutul Norvegian de Afaceri Interna\u021bionale (NUPI) ofer\u0103 un cadru clar prin compararea a dou\u0103 scenarii:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Scenariul 1<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 Victorie (par\u021bial\u0103) a Rusiei: Moscova \u00eempinge frontul spre vest, Ucraina este for\u021bat\u0103 s\u0103 accepte o \u201epace proast\u0103\u201d \u0219i pierde p\u00e2n\u0103 la jum\u0103tate din teritoriul s\u0103u. Conform studiului, acest lucru ar impune Europei costuri sociale \u0219i legate de refugia\u021bi \u00een valoare de 524-952 miliarde de euro pe o perioad\u0103 de patru ani, la care se adaug\u0103 cheltuieli suplimentare pentru ap\u0103rare, ceea ce ar ridica factura total\u0103 la 1,2\u20131,6 trilioane de euro.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Scenariul 2<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 Victoria Ucrainei: Europa \u00eenarmeaz\u0103 Ucraina (1.500-2.500 de tancuri, 2.000-3.000 de sisteme de artilerie, p\u00e2n\u0103 la 8 milioane de drone, sisteme moderne de ap\u0103rare aerian\u0103), permi\u021b\u00e2ndu-i s\u0103 resping\u0103 for\u021bele ruse \u0219i s\u0103 oblige Kremlinul s\u0103 accepte o pace favorabil\u0103. Cercet\u0103torii estimeaz\u0103 costul la 522-838 miliarde de euro pe o perioad\u0103 de patru ani \u2013 aproximativ jum\u0103tate din suma pe care Europa ar pl\u0103ti-o \u00een cazul unei victorii ruse\u0219ti.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Studiul porne\u0219te, de asemenea, de la ipoteza unui rol diminuat al Statelor Unite, ceea ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 cea mai mare parte a poverii \u2013 la fel ca \u00een prezent \u2013 ar reveni Europei.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-3 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\" data-pgc-sgb-id=\"bl2\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-383561\" src=\"https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/d8c9178c83d66ba7147562c510775f905479d254a86be364099acdac8e61407c-1.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 789px) 100vw, 789px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/d8c9178c83d66ba7147562c510775f905479d254a86be364099acdac8e61407c-1.jpg 789w, https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/d8c9178c83d66ba7147562c510775f905479d254a86be364099acdac8e61407c-1-300x186.jpg 300w, https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/d8c9178c83d66ba7147562c510775f905479d254a86be364099acdac8e61407c-1-768x475.jpg 768w\" alt=\"\" width=\"789\" height=\"488\" data-id=\"383561\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n<p><strong>C\u00e2t ar costa dac\u0103 Rusia ar ataca un membru NATO?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Nu exist\u0103 un calcul oficial direct al UE privind costul unui r\u0103zboi NATO real, \u00eens\u0103 exist\u0103 estim\u0103ri orientative privind necesarul ap\u0103r\u0103rii europene chiar \u0219i \u00een eventualitatea unei retrageri a Statelor Unite.<\/p>\n<p>Conform unei\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bruegel.org\/analysis\/defending-europe-without-us-first-estimates-what-needed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">analize realizate \u00een 2025<\/a>\u00a0de c\u0103tre grupul de reflec\u021bie Bruegel, cu sediul la Bruxelles, dac\u0103 Europa ar fi nevoit\u0103s\u0103 descurajeze Rusia f\u0103r\u0103 ajutorul Statelor Unite, ar avea nevoie de cel pu\u021bin 300 000 de solda\u021bi suplimentari \u0219i de aproximativ 250 de miliarde de euro \u00een cheltuieli adi\u021bionale pentru ap\u0103rare \u00een fiecare an \u00een urm\u0103torii ani.<\/p>\n<p>Conform studiului norvegian citat mai sus, cheltuielile suplimentare pentru ap\u0103rare destinate consolid\u0103rii flancului estic al NATO \u00een cazul unui r\u0103zboi al Rusiei \u00eempotriva NATO ar ridica costurile totale ale Europei conform scenariului 1 la 1,2-1,6 trilioane de euro.<\/p>\n<p>Aceast\u0103 sum\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219e\u0219te deja totalul cheltuielilor actuale aleUE pentru sprijinirea Ucrainei, iar acest calcul nu include nici m\u0103car poten\u021biala distrugere a infrastructurii \u00een regiunile baltice sau scandinave, nici noile valuri de refugia\u021bi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Autor: Gy\u00f6rgy Folk<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Acest articol a fost scris \u00een cadrul unei colabor\u0103ri jurnalistice transfrontaliere europene, \u00een contextul proiectului UE NEIGHBOURS east.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; \u00cen dezbaterile de la Bruxelles \u0219i \u00een campaniile na\u021bionale \u2013 \u00een special&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":4562,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962.jpeg",1920,1193,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-150x150.jpeg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-300x186.jpeg",300,186,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-768x477.jpeg",640,398,true],"large":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-1024x636.jpeg",640,398,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-1536x954.jpeg",1536,954,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962.jpeg",1920,1193,false],"covernews-slider-full":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-1115x715.jpeg",1115,715,true],"covernews-slider-center":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-800x500.jpeg",800,500,true],"covernews-featured":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-1024x636.jpeg",1024,636,true],"covernews-medium":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-540x340.jpeg",540,340,true],"covernews-medium-square":["https:\/\/saptamana.md\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/protesta-francia-e1766390434115-6989b962-400x250.jpeg",400,250,true]},"author_info":{"display_name":"Lipcanu Stan","author_link":"https:\/\/saptamana.md\/index.php\/author\/lipcanu-stan\/"},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/saptamana.md\/index.php\/category\/actualitate-aici-si-acum\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Actualitate. 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